The farmers are lost in the sauce. I commend their hard work and courage. But at the end of they day, they may know the least about the industry outside the farm and how it works.
We go to a few farms and labs every week. Right now, we’re touring Oregon. It’s insane. There are farmers with no cannabis experience claiming to have produced 100,000 lbs of “smokable hemp.”
Last year, they grew hay.
You know, and I know, they did not treat 100,000 lbs like it was cannabis; trimming, and curing in the appropriate fashion for a smokable cannabis product. They are trying to sell a product they don’t understand in a market they don’t understand.
We are seeing some movement in smokable hemp. Mostly $150-$250 lbs. CBD shops across America are buying and selling it. But there’s still a surplus.
Niche farmers with cannabis experience using KNF and other biodiverse methods are asking $350-$600 per pound and some are getting it, but those are hand trimmed pounds dried and cured like cannabis should be. It’s moving slow, but it’s moving.
I have smoked some. Its better than the cannabis some states see, but I’m a retired NorCal cannabis cultivator. The flavor is almost as good as Mexican brick weed. lol. The terps seem like they’re there when you smell the flower. But the taste is lacking. Give the breeders time to develop better terp profiles and it may be something worth buying. But as a seller in Texas told me, “We don’t get the real thing around here so people buy this stuff.”
It is a rapidly exploding market. Just not a big enough boom to soak up all the smokable being produced. Most farmers will likely stop growing smokable next year and focus on producing a quality biomass, since that’s the backbone of the market.
They will end up selling their overly processed “smokable” as biomass at $8 a pound come Spring of 2020. Selling hemp as fake weed will only last so long. When the streets catch wind, it will hurt the weed business in those states, as well. People won’t trust buds because they can’t tell if its weed or hemp.
We are seeing $10-$15 a pound for biomass. $1.00-$1.50 per point. We bought over a $1,000,000 in biomass this year, prior to harvest. We were paying $42 a pound. But oil was also selling 60% crude for $1600 a liter. Today, we’re seeing that same crude sell for $750.
Many farmers are desperately clinging to 2018 crop prices and it is a fatal mistake.
The sales they are denying may not come back around and the voids in the market are quickly filled. Not to mention, I think prices will continue to drop. 99% of smokable hemp on the market will not sell. Farmers don’t want to believe this because they have these dreams of $600 a pound on a thousand acres. It’s a pipe dream. Many farmers will not sell their 2019 crop. Ever.
There are farmers who still have 2018 biomass!
You can’t tell them this because they all say, “My friend told me he knows a guy who sold his for $900 a lb.”
They are painfully disconnected.
Many farmers have barely gotten their crops to the barn and don’t even know where prices are. Just before Christmas, when its time to buy presents, they will wake up. Some may not wake up until 2020.
For now, they dream.